Last Sunday's parliamentary elections failed to resolve Bulgaria's bitter political impasse. Worse, there is now a palpable sense of confusion and disappointment among those who opposed the centre-right government of prime minister Boiko Borisov, as the poll returned his party to a position of primacy, albeit short of absolute majority. This is no mean feat for a party that was pushed out of power three months ago by fervent street protests and a series of self-immolations.
Aside from Borisov's Citizens for the European Development of Bulgaria (Gerb) party, the other big winners are the Bulgarian Socialist party, the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF) of the ethnic Turks and the nationalist and xenophobic Ataka.So the economic condition in Bulgaria is in 2013 so dire that Bulgarian are burning themselves alive on the streets of Sofia in despairing protest. It's no mean feat that Borisov's regime is so fundamentally callous and incompetent that is driving Bulgarian to commit such extreme actions that in Middle Eastern states would no doubt lead to terrorism.
In fact, in Greece the oligarchy and 'the police apparatus' has already been subject to anarchist terror attacks, at least on police stations. As Siderov states, though,
Aside from Borisov's Citizens for the European Development of Bulgaria (Gerb) party, the other big winners are the Bulgarian Socialist party, the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF) of the ethnic Turks and the nationalist and xenophobic Ataka.By contrast Bulgaria is a land of great potential, hospitable intelligent people governed by those like Borisov who are more concerned with the narrow monetary interests of the party, fulfilling EU austerity measures and spending vast amounts of Bulgarian tax payers money on NATO weapons.
Unfortunately, Bulgaria has always been
neglected by the Western Powers of Europe as with the entire Balkans
itself. It is treated only as a state of 'use value' to the more
economically powerful nations of Europe as it was during the Old Great
Game between the C19th European Empires.
Militarily since it joined NATO in 2004, the USA has converted Bulgaria, against the wishes of its people, into a militaristic client state willing to send troops to Afghanistan and Iraq as opposed in investing money in hospital and protecting those pensioners who live on meagre incomes.
The level of discontent was so severe a few years ago when I lived in Sofia that on election days all alcohol was banned in the shops lest the anger spill over into anti-government riots. Generally, however, Bulgaria has a history of tolerance and lack of xenophobia.
During World War Two King of Boris of Bulgaria and his constitutional government refused to send Bulgarian Jews to the European death camps, It would be surprising, and disappointing to see anything akin to the neo-fascist Golden Dawn of Greece arise in Bulgaria.
Bulgaria was from the late nineteenth century divided, as an Orthodox nation, as to its Western or Eastern identity. At least then, there was a debate. Betrayed by the EU and forced by US client politicians into spending on military equipment, Bulgarians are expected to be grateful to 'the West'.
Botched IMF neoliberal impositions, the continued presence of the Bulgarian mafia ( often ex-wrestlers !) , the economic impact of NATO's war on Serbia in 1999 and continued failed neoliberal policies have brought a nation with great potential and wealth to destitution.
The colossal expenditure on NATO was parts of a policy of 'stabilising the Balkans' while it, in fact, empowered Kosovan terrorists in the KLA and dragged Bulgaria into NATO as the price of defending one of the war objectives of the 1999 war-the protection of the AMBO pipeline.
Just as in the nineteenth century Bulgaria was treated as a contested zone over railway routes, the expenditure demanded by NATO in a country where most make $200 a month and the collapse of social provision is the price they must pay for yet more Great Power pipeline realpolitik.
Bulgarians are justifiably proud of their nation's history and all sympathy is due to the ordinary people , many of whom may well emigrate to Britain which is why the Bulgarian neoliberal government is so annoyed by attempts to dissuade what would be a policy of 'social dumping' by the UKIP.
In the face of these intractable tensions, there are no easy answers, Bulgarians deserve better, Britain simply cannot take masses more immigrants without severe social tensions arising. Yet Bulgarians are not particularly prone to wanting violent revolutions.
During the nineteenth century the conspiratorial nationalists were more concerned with ridding Bulgaria from the Ottoman Empire. It was only a lukewarm last ditch attempt by Todor Zhivkov in the late 1980s to drive out Muslims that saw an atavistic nationalism aimed at propping up Communism
Bulgaria has been betrayed both by unaccountable IMF transnational elites, the EU and its austerity programmes and US militarism, none of which was wanted and all of which contributed to the dichotomy between populists with few answers and neoliberal technocrats who obey Western diktat.
Mr Girondist replies,
Bulgarian military defense spending was 1.2% of GDP in 2012. Warsaw Pact accounting was always a moveable feast, but I'm pretty sure in the old days they spent more than 1.2%. The idea that this an unaffordable level of spending, or that such a level can be seen as a primary factor in the country's fiscal position, is rather laughable.
Militarily since it joined NATO in 2004, the USA has converted Bulgaria, against the wishes of its people, into a militaristic client state willing to send troops to Afghanistan and Iraq as opposed in investing money in hospital and protecting those pensioners who live on meagre incomes.
The level of discontent was so severe a few years ago when I lived in Sofia that on election days all alcohol was banned in the shops lest the anger spill over into anti-government riots. Generally, however, Bulgaria has a history of tolerance and lack of xenophobia.
During World War Two King of Boris of Bulgaria and his constitutional government refused to send Bulgarian Jews to the European death camps, It would be surprising, and disappointing to see anything akin to the neo-fascist Golden Dawn of Greece arise in Bulgaria.
Bulgaria was from the late nineteenth century divided, as an Orthodox nation, as to its Western or Eastern identity. At least then, there was a debate. Betrayed by the EU and forced by US client politicians into spending on military equipment, Bulgarians are expected to be grateful to 'the West'.
Botched IMF neoliberal impositions, the continued presence of the Bulgarian mafia ( often ex-wrestlers !) , the economic impact of NATO's war on Serbia in 1999 and continued failed neoliberal policies have brought a nation with great potential and wealth to destitution.
The colossal expenditure on NATO was parts of a policy of 'stabilising the Balkans' while it, in fact, empowered Kosovan terrorists in the KLA and dragged Bulgaria into NATO as the price of defending one of the war objectives of the 1999 war-the protection of the AMBO pipeline.
Just as in the nineteenth century Bulgaria was treated as a contested zone over railway routes, the expenditure demanded by NATO in a country where most make $200 a month and the collapse of social provision is the price they must pay for yet more Great Power pipeline realpolitik.
Bulgarians are justifiably proud of their nation's history and all sympathy is due to the ordinary people , many of whom may well emigrate to Britain which is why the Bulgarian neoliberal government is so annoyed by attempts to dissuade what would be a policy of 'social dumping' by the UKIP.
In the face of these intractable tensions, there are no easy answers, Bulgarians deserve better, Britain simply cannot take masses more immigrants without severe social tensions arising. Yet Bulgarians are not particularly prone to wanting violent revolutions.
During the nineteenth century the conspiratorial nationalists were more concerned with ridding Bulgaria from the Ottoman Empire. It was only a lukewarm last ditch attempt by Todor Zhivkov in the late 1980s to drive out Muslims that saw an atavistic nationalism aimed at propping up Communism
Bulgaria has been betrayed both by unaccountable IMF transnational elites, the EU and its austerity programmes and US militarism, none of which was wanted and all of which contributed to the dichotomy between populists with few answers and neoliberal technocrats who obey Western diktat.
Mr Girondist replies,
Bulgarian military defense spending was 1.2% of GDP in 2012. Warsaw Pact accounting was always a moveable feast, but I'm pretty sure in the old days they spent more than 1.2%. The idea that this an unaffordable level of spending, or that such a level can be seen as a primary factor in the country's fiscal position, is rather laughable.
But never
mind, you want to paint NATO as the villain, so NATO it is, even if
given the neighbors and history a rigidly neutral Bulgaria would need to
spend more than 1.2% and be more Finland than Ireland.
RESPONSE
The country is destitute and that sort of expenditure can make a difference as far as hospital beds and social security is concerned. So the comparisons with Finland and Ireland and number crunching irrelevance. Which country was threatening Bulgarian in 2004 when it joined NATO. ?
And that wealth of opportunity spreads out vastly beyond Sofian elites does it? Despite being invited to their parties and enjoying myself, I saw the poor ( not alcoholics but just the poor ) eating pizzas crusts out of bins on a regular basis.
Please try to stop reading Novinte or the Economist and look with your eyes in connection with the facts about the actual reality in Bulgaria. Have you actually lived there? Have you spoken to the average person? Have you seen the prices in Sofia's Billa supermarket.
Mr Girondiste replies,
'The point I am making is that 1.2% of GDP is a pretty normal level for a country in Bulgaria's position - it's less than the Czechs and Poles, more than the Slovaks. It's also less than rather unwarlike nations like the Dutch and less than half of the GDP share of France and the UK. All of these levels are much, much lower than the GDP ratios on both sides of the Iron Curtain during the Cold War.
That can be contrasted with countries in a more serious military posture - Georgia spends something like 5% of its GDP and Armenia is similar. Russia and the US are comfortably more than double that of Bulgaria's with obviously a much bigger GDP.
Very few countries with ANY potential instability on their borders hit Irish levels of defense as GDP (0.7%).
I generally like your posts even though I often disagree, but implying that NATO driven defense spending is a minor, let alone major, factor in Bulgaria's economic woes is simply incorrect.
If you don't trust the figures, just look at the Bulgarian order of battle today. If they have been bankrupting themselves buying weapons from the evil NATO, why are they still flying ancient Soviet aircraft and using T-72s?
The bottom line is that Bulgaria lends exactly as much in GDP share as Belgium, and Belgium hasn't expelled large groups of people from a minority ethnic group in recent memory, doesn't have a front-row seat to surely-they-wouldn't tensions between Greece and Turkey and isn't next door to the angrier bit of ex-Yugoslavia. Also, Belgiums core equipment isn't functionally obsolete'
RESPONSE
Let's look at this statement,
Comparing post-communist Bulgaria to a dysfunction democracy, but a democracy nevertheless and so at least a definite improvement politically, is slightly contradictory as it is to expected that a democracy will not act as a dictatorship.
Yet the reason so many states such as Bulgaria joined NATO in 2004 is that the USA tends to try and link the expansion of the EU to membership of NATO as if the two are the corollary of each other. Such a strategy would be disastrous in Georgia.
The point is that Borisov and others are uncritically pro-US and have allowed their nation to transfer militaristic allegiances from one military bloc ( the Warsaw Pact bloc ) to another in the form of NATO when no country near Bulgaria threatens it.
As in the past Bulgaria is being treated as a military base for US proximity to the strategically vital areas of the Middle East and the Caucasus ( termed crassly by Zbigniew Brzezinski as "The Eurasian Balkans". There is no need for neutrality not to be an option.
For as US involvement in the Middle East is set to continue, including it's catastrophic meddling in Georgian politics, this will invariably mean Atlanticist political elites may well need to ramp up military expenditure in the future.
Many ordinary Bulgarians are apathetic now to their unaccountable elites. To quote Joesph Roth in his novel Rebellion
The disastrous interventions of NATO in Kosovo in 1999 was based on empowering Hasim Thaci's criminal gangster organisation the KLA, an organisation known for spreading mafia links across the Balkans.
The economic instability, on top of further empowering the mafia, sex trafficking, torture and supplies of contraband affected Bulgaria badly. The use for Bulgarian security in joining NATO in 2004 was negligible and it's support for the Iraq war in 2003 also destroyed trade.
As with Georgia in the Caucasus, there was a good case for Bulgaria to retain a position of neutrality. This expansion of NATO eastwards and 'for us or against us' posture is akin to the sort of geopolitical insanity satirised by Orwell in 1984.
As regards the post-communist transition, the dovetailing on harsh doctrinaire neo-liberal economic policies with even supposedly 'left wing' political parties is due to obeisance to EU austerity measures and US global dogmas of universal 'economic freedom' as it dovetail exactly with 'economic freedom',
That's why Bulgarians are angry and confused when they are not apathetic and increasingly indifferent.
To quote Orwell once more ,
RESPONSE
The country is destitute and that sort of expenditure can make a difference as far as hospital beds and social security is concerned. So the comparisons with Finland and Ireland and number crunching irrelevance. Which country was threatening Bulgarian in 2004 when it joined NATO. ?
And that wealth of opportunity spreads out vastly beyond Sofian elites does it? Despite being invited to their parties and enjoying myself, I saw the poor ( not alcoholics but just the poor ) eating pizzas crusts out of bins on a regular basis.
Please try to stop reading Novinte or the Economist and look with your eyes in connection with the facts about the actual reality in Bulgaria. Have you actually lived there? Have you spoken to the average person? Have you seen the prices in Sofia's Billa supermarket.
Mr Girondiste replies,
'The point I am making is that 1.2% of GDP is a pretty normal level for a country in Bulgaria's position - it's less than the Czechs and Poles, more than the Slovaks. It's also less than rather unwarlike nations like the Dutch and less than half of the GDP share of France and the UK. All of these levels are much, much lower than the GDP ratios on both sides of the Iron Curtain during the Cold War.
That can be contrasted with countries in a more serious military posture - Georgia spends something like 5% of its GDP and Armenia is similar. Russia and the US are comfortably more than double that of Bulgaria's with obviously a much bigger GDP.
Very few countries with ANY potential instability on their borders hit Irish levels of defense as GDP (0.7%).
I generally like your posts even though I often disagree, but implying that NATO driven defense spending is a minor, let alone major, factor in Bulgaria's economic woes is simply incorrect.
If you don't trust the figures, just look at the Bulgarian order of battle today. If they have been bankrupting themselves buying weapons from the evil NATO, why are they still flying ancient Soviet aircraft and using T-72s?
The bottom line is that Bulgaria lends exactly as much in GDP share as Belgium, and Belgium hasn't expelled large groups of people from a minority ethnic group in recent memory, doesn't have a front-row seat to surely-they-wouldn't tensions between Greece and Turkey and isn't next door to the angrier bit of ex-Yugoslavia. Also, Belgiums core equipment isn't functionally obsolete'
RESPONSE
Let's look at this statement,
The bottom line is that Bulgaria lends exactly as much in GDP share as Belgium, and Belgium hasn't expelled large groups of people from a minority ethnic group in recent memory,Belgium is far richer than Bulgaria and the expulsion by Todor Zhivkov of Turkish Muslims in the late 1980s was a sort of ruse to prop up a failing 'national communist regime' by a discredited dictator.
Comparing post-communist Bulgaria to a dysfunction democracy, but a democracy nevertheless and so at least a definite improvement politically, is slightly contradictory as it is to expected that a democracy will not act as a dictatorship.
Yet the reason so many states such as Bulgaria joined NATO in 2004 is that the USA tends to try and link the expansion of the EU to membership of NATO as if the two are the corollary of each other. Such a strategy would be disastrous in Georgia.
The point is that Borisov and others are uncritically pro-US and have allowed their nation to transfer militaristic allegiances from one military bloc ( the Warsaw Pact bloc ) to another in the form of NATO when no country near Bulgaria threatens it.
As in the past Bulgaria is being treated as a military base for US proximity to the strategically vital areas of the Middle East and the Caucasus ( termed crassly by Zbigniew Brzezinski as "The Eurasian Balkans". There is no need for neutrality not to be an option.
For as US involvement in the Middle East is set to continue, including it's catastrophic meddling in Georgian politics, this will invariably mean Atlanticist political elites may well need to ramp up military expenditure in the future.
Many ordinary Bulgarians are apathetic now to their unaccountable elites. To quote Joesph Roth in his novel Rebellion
'The government is something that overlies man like the sky overlies the earth. What comes from it may be good or ill, but it cannot be other than great and all-powerful, unknowable and mysterious, even though on occasion it may be understood by an ordinary person'Ordinary people in Bulgaria understand the pipeline transit politics. Bulgaria was a zone of competition during the late nineteenth century during the last Great Game. In the new one, Bulgaria's scope to derive energy from various sources has been curtailed.
The disastrous interventions of NATO in Kosovo in 1999 was based on empowering Hasim Thaci's criminal gangster organisation the KLA, an organisation known for spreading mafia links across the Balkans.
The economic instability, on top of further empowering the mafia, sex trafficking, torture and supplies of contraband affected Bulgaria badly. The use for Bulgarian security in joining NATO in 2004 was negligible and it's support for the Iraq war in 2003 also destroyed trade.
As with Georgia in the Caucasus, there was a good case for Bulgaria to retain a position of neutrality. This expansion of NATO eastwards and 'for us or against us' posture is akin to the sort of geopolitical insanity satirised by Orwell in 1984.
As regards the post-communist transition, the dovetailing on harsh doctrinaire neo-liberal economic policies with even supposedly 'left wing' political parties is due to obeisance to EU austerity measures and US global dogmas of universal 'economic freedom' as it dovetail exactly with 'economic freedom',
That's why Bulgarians are angry and confused when they are not apathetic and increasingly indifferent.
To quote Orwell once more ,
“The creatures outside looked from pig to man, and from man to pig, and from pig to man again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.”



The release of a much anticipated EU-commissioned report into the causes of the Russian-Georgian war of August 2008 predictably spread the blame for the conflict around. Georgia got its share of the blame, but the text of the report is devastating to Russia's narrative of the conflict.
A year ago Cornell wrote this,
The blatant aggression was Georgia's in bombing Tskhanvali . That fact is clear as is the assertion of the report that this was a breach of international law. That fact cannot be spun away by pure propaganda like this.
Yes it does mean Georgia bears responsibility for the conflict. Only in Alice in Wonderland style logic can suggests otherwise.
Georgia was the Soviet Union's most 'progressive state. The one criticised by HRW for murdering sleeping civilans whilst they slept in bed with grad rockets. causing indicriminate death to 400 and injuries to scores more. As well as firing live bullets at protesters in Tblisi in November 2007.
If this is what Cornell has in mind by "progressive" then it is curious what he might mean by 'reactionary'. Probably any nation that does not fall in with the USA's designs for global hegemony. This is very much what Orwell meant by doublethink.
Sakashvili's regime practices torture, represses the media, and was the creation in 2004 of a rigged election that gave him 97% of the vote. If that had been in Belarus, Cornell would have been screaming election fraud.
Cornell has nothing to write about Romania giving out passports to Moldovan Romanians though, despite it ramping up tensions which came out when the Twitter Revolution in April this year revealed the opposition to the Communists to come from far right admirers of Antonescu's wartime fascist state.
Last year Cornell also mirrored far right nationalist propaganda in comparing russia's incursion into Georgia with the invasion of the Baltic States in 1939, a propaganda that conflates Putin's Russia with the Soviet Union and legitimises the revisionism with regards the collaboration with Nazi Germany.
Then there is the fact Cornell fails to deal with the Kosovo precedent,
Well, the idea of humanitarian intervention is itself a myth, one used to justify the bombing of Serbia in 1999 and which never takes recognition of the support the US gave the KLA in training and tactics. The KLA subsequently ethnically cleansed 250,000 Serbs and Sinti from Kosovo.
Yes, but it does mention the precedent set by the unilateral policies of the USA ( obviously Cornell assigns the invasion of Iraq to the Orwellian memory hole ) and the recognition of kosovo's independence in January 2008 which acted as the model for Russia to copy with regards Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
To give Cornell his due, he is at least honest about the neoconservatives real motives in Georgia.
By backing Saakashvili, the neoconservatives clearly think Moscow's line, such as they portray it as, worthy of emulation.